# Arithmetic obstructions to linearly growing block schedules in rational Collatz dynamics

## 1. Main results and scope

For an odd rational number $x$ with odd denominator, its Syracuse step is
$(3x+1)/2^e$, where $e=v_2(3x+1)\ge1$. A finite exponent block
$A=(e_1,\ldots,e_\ell)$ has division sum $S=\sum_i e_i$ and affine map

$$
T_A(x)=\frac{3^\ell x+C_A}{2^S},\qquad
u_A=\frac{2^S}{3^\ell},\qquad
p_A=\frac{C_A}{2^S-3^\ell}.
$$

Thus $T_A^{-1}(y)=p_A+u_A(y-p_A)$.
The denominator of $p_A$ is odd. We study the infinite exponent schedule

$$
\mathcal W=\prod_{K\ge1}A_1^KA_2^K\cdots A_r^K.
$$

Write $S_j,\ell_j,u_j,p_j$ for the data of $A_j$, and put

$$
S=\sum_jS_j,\qquad \ell=\sum_j\ell_j,\qquad
q=\prod_ju_j=\frac{2^S}{3^\ell},\qquad G=\max(2^S,3^\ell).
$$

Set $p_{r+1}=p_1$ and let $d$ be the number of nonzero differences
$p_{j+1}-p_j$. We assume that the pins are not all equal, so $d\ge2$.

**Theorem 1 (several growing blocks).** If

$$
\frac{S}{\ell}>
\eta_d\log_2 3,\qquad
\eta_d=\frac{4d^2}{4d^2+2d+1},
$$

then no rational number with odd denominator, of either sign, has exponent
word $\mathcal W$. The same exclusion holds after adding or deleting any
finite prefix.

**Theorem 2 (stronger two-block condition).** When $r=2$ and $p_1\ne p_2$,
the conclusion of Theorem 1 holds under the weaker condition

$$
\frac{S}{\ell}>\frac{43}{57}\log_2 3
=1.1956734654\ldots.
$$

In particular, the schedule $\prod_{K\ge1}1^{4K}2^K$ cannot occur on a
rational trajectory. Its mean exponent is $6/5$, which is below the
fixed-shift two-value threshold $(16/21)\log_2 3=1.2075904767\ldots$.

The conclusions concern aperiodic words with increasing runs. They exclude
these words arithmetically even in part of the regime $S/\ell<\log_2 3$,
where the forward macroblocks have expanding linear multiplier.
They do not assert that an arbitrary divergent orbit has such a word.
They do not exclude other positive cycles or prove convergence to one.

For a reduced rational $a/b$ with $b>0$, write
$H(a/b)=\max(|a|,b)$.

**Theorem 3 (finite-prefix height).** Under the hypotheses of Theorem 1,
there is a constant $C$, depending only on the blocks, such that every odd
rational $y$ with odd denominator executing the first $K$ complete macroblocks satisfies

$$
\log_2 H(y)\ge
\frac{S-\eta_d\log_2G}{6}K^2-CK
$$

for all sufficiently large $K$. The coefficient of $K^2$ is positive.
For the particular word $\prod_K1^{2K}2^K$, a simultaneous Padé construction
gives the stronger coefficient

$$
2-\frac{11}{28}\log_2 27=0.1320084812\ldots.
$$

Under the two-block hypotheses of Theorem 2, the corresponding bound is

$$
\log_2H(y)\ge
\frac{57S-43\log_2G}{390}K^2-CK.
$$

This coefficient is positive throughout the stronger two-block range.
Section 6.3 proves the additional minor estimate needed for the varying
negative shift; it does not assume the fixed-shift proof transfers.

**Theorem 4 (sparse defects).** Under the hypotheses of Theorem 1 or 2, let
$|\delta_{j,k}|\le D$ be integers with $k+\delta_{j,k}\ge1$. Consider

$$
\mathcal W_\delta=
\prod_{k\ge1}A_1^{k+\delta_{1,k}}\cdots A_r^{k+\delta_{r,k}}.
$$

Suppose there are intervals $[J_n,K_n]$ on which all defects vanish:
$\delta_{j,k}=0$ for every $j$ and $J_n\le k\le K_n$.
If $K_n/J_n\to\infty$, no rational with odd denominator realizes
$\mathcal W_\delta$. Thus the arithmetic obstruction survives some
nonperiodic changes to the schedule. Section 9 gives a finite inequality
and a sufficient fixed endpoint-ratio condition.

| Exponent schedule | Mean exponent | Criterion used here |
|---|---:|---|
| $\prod_K1^{2K}2^K$ | $4/3$ | Explicit simultaneous approximation and sharper prefix bound |
| $\prod_K1^{7K}2^{2K}$ | $11/9$ | Fixed-shift Hankel determinant |
| $\prod_K1^{4K}2^K$ | $6/5$ | Negative-index Hankel determinant |
| $\prod_K1^{5K}2^K$ | $7/6$ | Not decided by the stated sufficient conditions |

## 2. Prior work and contribution

Cassian Mahler [1, Theorem 7] derived the two-center Tschakaloff decomposition
for $\prod_KA^KB^K$, including the explicit anchor for
$\prod_K1^{2K}2^K$. That decomposition alone does not establish irrationality:
separate irrationality of two values would not imply irrationality of their
difference. Distinct starting summand valuations also do not make their
full binary expansions disjoint.

Fourier Wren [2] reduced schedules with one linearly growing block and one
fixed block to a single Tschakaloff value and adapted Zudilin's approximation
[3] to the $2$-adic place. This is prior work for the present direction.
The approximation methods themselves are classical. The normalized-tail
Hankel construction used below follows the approach of Bézivin as described
and developed by Krattenthaler, Rochev, Väänänen, and Zudilin [4, Sections 1–2].
Their paper includes rational-base Archimedean results; we establish the
local estimates and denominator bounds needed here directly.

Amou, Matala-aho, and Väänänen [5, Sections 5–9] give a general
linear-independence theorem allowing rational bases and finite places.
Its stated numerical condition does not cover the initial two-value target
$q=16/27$: with their parameters $s=1,m=2$, their functions satisfy
$B(\tau)/A(\tau)\le9/8$, while the required ratio is
$\log_2(27)/4>9/8$. Indeed, their $K\ge2$ gives

$$
\frac{B(\tau)}{A(\tau)}
\le1+\frac{\tau-2}{\tau^2/2+2\tau+2}\le\frac98
$$

whenever $B>A$; otherwise their condition already fails.
This is a comparison with that theorem, not a claim that all earlier
explicit approximations fail to cover the target.
Bundschuh's survey [6] records classical simultaneous Tschakaloff results.
Katsurada [7, Theorem 1] gives rational-base Archimedean linear-independence
measures for several Heine-series values and derivatives over an imaginary
quadratic field, extending Stihl. Its stated ordinary absolute-value theorem
is not invoked as a $2$-adic result here.
The precise overlap with the generalized-series papers of Amou and
Katsurada [8,9] remains unverified because their primary texts were not
available during preparation. No novelty is claimed for a general
simultaneous Padé or Hankel method.

The contribution is the explicit arithmetic exclusion of the stated
growing-block Collatz schedules, the negative-index argument that reaches
the next two-center case, and the effective rational-height and sparse-defect
consequences.
The proofs below are self-contained and do not invoke an unverified
theorem from [8,9].

Wren independently audited the first simultaneous construction with 425 exact
assertions and a separate Syracuse-anchor computation [2]. He also supplied
the optimized two-block Padé specialization, and subsequently audited the
fixed-shift Hankel argument and its multi-block application [2].
Cassian independently checked the simultaneous construction and its
two-block specialization [10]. Wren later audited the negative-index proof
interfaces at explicit cases, including denominator clearing and the unique
minimizing subset, without using the supplied attachment [2]. Cassian also
reported checks of the negative-index argument and the finite-prefix
perturbation calculations [10]. Wren separately checked the height-transport
argument in Section 9, including 40,000 elementary steps and 300 finite
defective schedules, while explicitly taking the rational prefix-height
lemma as an assumption [2]. The moving-shift prefix proof in Section 6.3
is a subsequent author extension. These finite audits corroborate the written
proofs; they do not replace their arguments for arbitrary determinant size.
Wren's accepted paper on normal witnesses and weighted-automata obstructions
is a neighboring symbolic-dynamics result [11]; the arithmetic arguments
here do not rely on its theorem.

## 3. The block-to-series identity

Define

$$
F_q(z)=\sum_{k\ge0}z^kq^{\binom k2},\qquad
z_j=\prod_{i=1}^j u_i,\qquad
c_j=p_{j+1}-p_j.
$$

The series converge in $\mathbb Q_2$. Direct composition of centered inverse
branches yields

$$
T^{-1}_{A_1^K\cdots A_r^K}(y)
=p_1+q^K(y-p_1)+\sum_{j=1}^r c_jz_j^K.
$$

Iterating from an odd terminal value gives a convergent anchor

$$
X=p_1+\sum_{K\ge1}q^{\binom K2}\sum_{j=1}^r c_jz_j^K
=p_1+\sum_{j=1}^r c_jF_q(z_j),
$$

since $\sum_jc_j=0$. This extends the two-block identity of [1].
The valuations $v_2(z_j)=\sum_{i\le j}S_i$ are distinct and positive, with
spread less than $S=v_2(q)$.

Every finite prescribed exponent word of division sum $E$ has a unique
odd residue class modulo $2^{E+1}$. To see this, its inverse affine map is
$(2^Ey-C)/3^m$ with odd terminal $y$, and changing $y$ among odd values
changes the input by a multiple of $2^{E+1}$.
The inverse branch $(2^ey-1)/3$ is odd when $y$ is odd, and satisfies
$v_2(3x+1)=e$. Thus the limiting anchor realizes the exact infinite word.

If a rational trajectory realizes the word, it equals this anchor.
If it realizes a suffix, the deleted prefix can be restored by a rational
inverse affine map. Likewise any preceding finite trajectory maps rational
starts to rational values. It therefore suffices to prove $X$ irrational.

For two blocks $A=1^a,B=2^b$ the pins are $-1,1$, and

$$
q=\frac{2^{a+2b}}{3^{a+b}},\qquad z_1=(2/3)^a,\qquad z_2=q,\qquad
X=-1+2(F_q(z_1)-F_q(q)).
$$

## 4. A simultaneous lemma from fixed-shift Hankel determinants

For $r\ge1$ set

$$
\eta_r=\frac{4r^2}{4r^2+2r+1},\qquad
F_q(z)=\sum_{k\ge0}z^kq^{\binom k2}.
$$

**Simultaneous $2$-adic lemma.** Let $q=a/b>0$ be reduced, with $b$ odd and $s=v_2(a)>0$. Let $z_1,\ldots,z_r>0$ be rational with odd denominators and distinct positive valuations in an interval of width less than $s$. If

$$
\frac{s}{\log_2\max(a,b)}>\eta_r,
$$

then $1,F_q(z_1),\ldots,F_q(z_r)$ are linearly independent over $\mathbb Q$ in $\mathbb Q_2$.

This uses the classical normalized-tail Hankel method described in [4], specialized here to several interleaved $2$-adic progressions. The fixed shift below supplies a direct noncancellation proof for arbitrary fixed rational coefficients.

*Proof.* A nontrivial relation would make
$\xi=\sum_{i=1}^d c_iF_q(z_i)$ rational, with $c_i\ne0$ and $d\le r$.
Retain only these $d$ arguments and order their valuations as
$0<v_1<\cdots<v_d<v_1+s$. Put $d_i=v_2(c_i)$ and choose a fixed nonnegative integer $M$ such that

$$
(M+1)(v_{i+1}-v_i)+d_{i+1}-d_i>0\quad(i<d),\qquad
(M+1)(s+v_1-v_d)+v_1+d_1-d_d>0.
$$

For example $M=2\max_i|d_i|+1$ works. Define the normalized tails

$$
w_n=q^{-\binom{n+1}{2}}
\left(\xi-\sum_{k=0}^n\sum_{i=1}^d c_i z_i^kq^{\binom k2}\right)
=\sum_{i=1}^d\sum_{j\ge0}\omega_{i,j}\lambda_{i,j}^n,
$$

where $\lambda_{i,j}=z_iq^j$ and
$\omega_{i,j}=c_i z_i^{j+1}q^{\binom{j+1}{2}}$.
The equality follows by writing the tail index as $k=n+j+1$.
The base valuations strictly increase in the order
$(1,0),\ldots,(d,0),(1,1),\ldots$.
The effective weight valuations
$v_2(\omega_{i,j}\lambda_{i,j}^M)$ increase in the same order: their within-group increments are
$(j+M+1)(v_{i+1}-v_i)+d_{i+1}-d_i$, and the increment to the next group is
$(j+M+1)(s+v_1-v_d)+v_1+d_1-d_d$.

For $H_N=\det(w_{M+u+v})_{0\le u,v<N}$, finite Cauchy–Binet followed by $2$-adic convergence gives

$$
H_N=\sum_{|S|=N}
\prod_{\alpha\in S}(\omega_\alpha\lambda_\alpha^M)
\prod_{\alpha<\gamma\in S}(\lambda_\gamma-\lambda_\alpha)^2.
$$

The sum runs over finite subsets of the ordered bases. It converges because weight valuations grow quadratically in $j$, whereas the subset size is fixed. Distinct base valuations imply
$v_2(\lambda_\gamma-\lambda_\alpha)=\min(v_2(\lambda_\gamma),v_2(\lambda_\alpha))$.
Writing $\alpha_t=v_2(\lambda_t)$ and
$\gamma_t=v_2(\omega_t\lambda_t^M)$, a subset
$t_1<\cdots<t_N$ contributes valuation

$$
\sum_{k=1}^N\gamma_{t_k}
+2\sum_{k=1}^N(N-k)\alpha_{t_k}.
$$

Since both sequences increase strictly, this is uniquely minimized by $t_k=k$. Thus $H_N\ne0$ for every $N$, with exact valuation

$$
v_2(H_N)=\sum_{k=1}^N\gamma_k+
2\sum_{k=1}^N(N-k)\alpha_k
=\frac{s(2d+1)}{6d^2}N^3+O(N^2).
$$

The last equality uses $\alpha_k=sk/d+O(1)$ and
$\gamma_k=sk^2/(2d^2)+O(k)$.

Under the rationality assumption, write $Q=1/q=b/a$ to express each entry as

$$
w_n=\xi Q^{\binom{n+1}{2}}
-\sum_{k=0}^n\sum_i c_i z_i^k
Q^{\binom{n+1}{2}-\binom k2}.
$$

All displayed $Q$ exponents are nonnegative. The maximal total $Q$ exponent in a determinant monomial is at most

$$
C_N=\sum_{u=0}^{N-1}\binom{M+2u+1}{2}
=\frac23N^3+O(N^2),
$$

by the rearrangement inequality applied to a permutation of the columns.
The total $z$ degree is at most $J_N=MN+N(N-1)$.
Let $Z$ clear all $z_i$ denominators, and let $h$ clear the denominators of $\xi,c_1,\ldots,c_d$. Then

$$
I_N=h^NZ^{J_N}a^{C_N}H_N
$$

is a nonzero integer. Expanding the determinant and bounding each monomial gives

$$
\log_2|I_N|\le C_N\log_2\max(a,b)+O(N^2+N\log N).
$$

For completeness, with $W=\max(1,|\xi|,|c_1|,\ldots,|c_d|)$ and
$Z_0=\max(1,z_1,\ldots,z_d)$, an explicit upper bound is

$$
|I_N|\le N!\,[1+d(M+2N-1)]^N(hW)^N(ZZ_0)^{J_N}
\max(a,b)^{C_N}.
$$

Because $Z$ is odd,

$$
v_2(I_N)=
s\left(\frac23+\frac{2d+1}{6d^2}\right)N^3+O(N^2).
$$

These two bounds contradict $v_2(I_N)\le\log_2|I_N|$ when
$s/\log_2\max(a,b)>\eta_d$.
The sequence $\eta_d$ is increasing, so the assumed condition with $r$ suffices. This proves the lemma.


By applying the lemma to the nonzero center differences in Section 3, the anchor is irrational when $S/\log_2G>\eta_d$. This is equivalent to the mean-exponent condition of Theorem 1: if $2^S\ge3^\ell$ it is automatic, and otherwise it is $S/\ell>\eta_d\log_2 3$. The finite-prefix statements are proved in Section 6.

## 5. Negative indices and the stronger two-block theorem

Let $q=a/b$ and two arguments have $0<v_1<v_2<v_1+s$, $s=v_2(a)$.
Suppose $\xi=c_1F_q(z_1)+c_2F_q(z_2)$ is rational, with both coefficients nonzero.
For every integer $n$ the convergent moment representation

$$
w_n=\sum_{i=1}^2\sum_{j\ge0}
c_i z_i^{n+j+1}q^{jn+\binom{j+1}{2}}
$$

continues to hold. For $n\ge0$ it is the previous normalized tail.
For $n<0$, writing $Q=1/q$, it is

$$
w_n=Q^{\binom{n+1}{2}}\xi+
\sum_{k=n+1}^{-1}\sum_i c_i z_i^k
Q^{\binom{n+1}{2}-\binom k2}.
$$

The sum is empty at $n=-1$, giving $w_{-1}=\xi$.
Both formulas satisfy
$w_n=Q^n(w_{n-1}-\sum_i c_i z_i^n)$, so equality follows by backward recursion.
Every displayed $Q$ exponent remains nonnegative. Negative powers of the $z_i$
introduce denominators, but only with total exponent $O(N^2)$ in the determinant
below, so they do not alter its leading cubic height.

Take $N$ divisible by four and $M=-N/4$. Order the bases
$(1,0),(2,0),(1,1),\ldots$ as before, with valuations $\alpha_t$ and unshifted
weight valuations $\beta_t$. Let $\gamma_t=\beta_t+M\alpha_t$.
The sequence $\gamma_t$ need not increase. Nevertheless, the least-valuation
Cauchy–Binet subset of $H_N=\det(w_{M+u+v})$ is still uniquely the first $N$
bases for all sufficiently large $N$.

Indeed, at position $k$ in a subset $t_1<\cdots<t_N$, we have $t_k\ge k$ and
must minimize

$$
g_k(t)=\gamma_t+2(N-k)\alpha_t,\qquad t\ge k.
$$

Within a group of index $j$, the increment of $g_k$ is
$(j+M+1+2(N-k))(v_2-v_1)+v_2(c_2)-v_2(c_1)$.
Across a group boundary it is
$(j+M+1+2(N-k))(s+v_1-v_2)+v_1+v_2(c_1)-v_2(c_2)$.
For $t\ge k$ we have $j\ge\lfloor(k-1)/2\rfloor$, and

$$
\lfloor(k-1)/2\rfloor+M+1+2(N-k)\ge N/4.
$$

The fixed coefficient offsets are therefore dominated for large $N$, making
$g_k(t)$ strictly increasing for $t\ge k$. Each component of the subset cost
is uniquely minimized at $t_k=k$. Thus $H_N\ne0$ and

$$
v_2(H_N)=\sum_{t=1}^N\gamma_t+
2\sum_{t=1}^N(N-t)\alpha_t
=\frac{7s}{48}N^3+O(N^2).
$$

Under the rationality assumption, the largest total $Q$ exponent of a determinant
monomial is, by rearrangement,

$$
C_N=\sum_{u=0}^{N-1}\binom{-N/4+2u+1}{2}
=\frac{43}{96}N^3-\frac38N^2-\frac16N.
$$

Let $Z$ be a common multiple of the numerators and denominators of both $z_i$,
and let the positive integer $h$ clear the denominators of $\xi,c_1,c_2$.
For all these entry indices $n$, $|n|\le2N$, so the total absolute exponent
of $z_i$ in a determinant monomial is at most $2N^2$.
Consequently

$$
I_N=h^NZ^{2N^2}a^{C_N}H_N
$$

is a nonzero integer, with

$$
v_2(I_N)=\frac{19s}{32}N^3+O(N^2),\qquad
\log_2|I_N|\le\frac{43}{96}\log_2\max(a,b)N^3+O(N^2+N\log N).
$$

Here $Z$ may be even; its contribution $2N^2v_2(Z)$ is absorbed in
the quadratic error. More explicitly, with
$W=\max(1,|\xi|,|c_1|,|c_2|)$ and
$Z_*=\max(1,z_1,z_2,z_1^{-1},z_2^{-1})$, the rational expansion gives

$$
|I_N|\le
N![1+2(2N+1)]^N(hW)^N(ZZ_*)^{2N^2}\max(a,b)^{C_N}.
$$

Each entry contains at most $1+2(2N+1)$ terms. Its $Q$ exponents lie
between zero and $\binom{n+1}{2}$, and the total absolute $z$ exponent
is at most $2N^2$. Rearrangement bounds the total $Q$ exponent by $C_N$
even when some entry indices are negative. These facts prove both
integrality and the displayed ordinary height bound.

This proves independence of $1,F_q(z_1),F_q(z_2)$ whenever

$$
\frac{s}{\log_2\max(a,b)}>\frac{43}{57}.
$$

If a putative relation uses only one value, the already established one-value
Hankel criterion $4/7<43/57$ suffices.

For the Collatz schedule with $A=1^4$ and $B=2$,
$q=64/243$, $z_1=16/81$, $z_2=q$, and the anchor is
$-1+2(F_q(z_1)-F_q(z_2))$. The condition is
$6/(5\log_2 3)>43/57$, certified exactly by $2^{342}>3^{215}$.
The corresponding mean-valuation threshold is
$(43/57)\log_2 3=1.195673\ldots<6/5$.


This proves Theorem 2 by the two-block identity in Section 3.

## 6. Determinant stability and finite prefixes

Keep the shifted moment sequence and ordered valuations $\alpha_t,\gamma_t$
from Section 4. Define

$$
V_N=\sum_{t=1}^N\gamma_t+
2\sum_{t=1}^N(N-t)\alpha_t,\qquad
\Delta_N=V_N-V_{N-1}=\gamma_N+2\sum_{t=1}^{N-1}\alpha_t.
$$

The sequence $\Delta_N$ increases strictly. Fix $N$ and replace $\xi$ by
$\xi+\varepsilon$ in the rational expression for $w_n$. The matrix perturbation
has entries

$$
\varepsilon q^{-\binom{M+i+j+1}{2}}.
$$

Write $P=v_2(\varepsilon)$ and
$f_N=\binom{M+2N-1}{2}$. Then every size-$k$ minor of the perturbation
has valuation at least $k(P-sf_N)$.

Every size-$h$ minor of the true moment matrix has valuation at least $V_h$.
To prove this, apply Cauchy–Binet to row exponents
$0\le u_1<\cdots<u_h$ and column exponents
$0\le v_1<\cdots<v_h$. For fixed distinct bases, the generalized Vandermonde
determinant has a unique lowest-valuation term by strict rearrangement, with
valuation $\sum_{j=1}^h u_j\alpha_{h+1-j}$ for the first $h$ bases.
Since $u_j,v_j\ge j-1$ and all base valuations are positive, the ordinary
Vandermonde lower bound applies. Increasing both base and effective-weight
valuations then bounds the sum over subsets below by $V_h$.

The multilinear determinant expansion in the perturbation gives

$$
v_2(H_N(\xi+\varepsilon)-H_N(\xi))
\ge\min_{1\le k\le N}
\left\{k(P-sf_N)+V_{N-k}\right\}.
$$

Since $V_N-V_{N-k}\le k\Delta_N$, the sufficient condition

$$
P>sf_N+\Delta_N
$$

forces the determinant difference to have valuation greater than $V_N$.
Therefore the perturbed determinant is nonzero and has exactly valuation $V_N$.

### 6.1. Growing-block prefixes

Take a schedule with inverse product $q=2^S/3^\ell$, at least two distinct
pins, and $d$ nonzero center differences. Then

$$
X=p_1+\xi,\qquad
\xi=\sum_j c_jF_q(z_j)
$$

as in Section 3. If an odd rational $y=a/b$, in lowest terms with $b>0$ odd,
executes its first $K$
complete macroblocks, then
$v_2((y-p_1)-\xi)=v_2(y-X)\ge SK(K+1)/2+1$.
Choose a fixed odd integer $h_0$ clearing the denominators of $p_1,c_j$,
and use $h=h_0b$ to clear the denominators of $y-p_1,c_j$.
Then $v_2(h)=0$, independently of $y$. With
$W=\max(1,|y-p_1|,\max_j|c_j|)$, a fixed constant $C_0$ satisfies

$$
hW\le h_0\max(1,1+|p_1|,\max_j|c_j|)H(y)=C_0H(y).
$$

The cylinder identity is valid for every odd-denominator rational in the
class, because its inverse terminal state is odd in $\mathbb Z_2$.
No rationality of the infinite anchor is assumed in this argument: the
determinant is evaluated at the finite rational $y-p_1$.

Put

$$
G=\max(2^S,3^\ell),\qquad
\eta_d=\frac{4d^2}{4d^2+2d+1}.
$$

The condition $P>Sf_N+\Delta_N$ can be met with

$$
N^2=\frac{d^2}{4d^2+2d+1}K^2+O(K),
$$

since $\Delta_N=S(2d+1)N^2/(2d^2)+O(N)$.
For these choices the cleared determinant at $y-p_1$ is a nonzero integer of
valuation

$$
S\left(\frac23+\frac{2d+1}{6d^2}\right)N^3+O(N^2)
$$

and ordinary logarithmic size at most

$$
\frac23\log_2G\,N^3+N\log_2 H(y)+O(N^2+N\log N).
$$

Thus

$$
\log_2 H(y)\ge
\frac{S-\eta_d\log_2 G}{6}K^2-O(K).
$$

The coefficient is positive under exactly the sufficient condition of the
qualitative Hankel theorem. For $A=1^7,B=2^2$, $S=11,\ell=9,d=2$:
the coefficient is $(11-(16/21)9\log_2 3)/6=0.0219476\ldots$.
This is weaker than the explicit Padé finite-prefix coefficient in the original
$1^{2K}2^K$ example, but it covers the new case beyond the Padé threshold.

### 6.2. An explicit finite inequality

For a fixed $N,M$, let

$$
J_N=MN+N(N-1),\quad
C_N=\sum_{u=0}^{N-1}\binom{M+2u+1}{2}.
$$

If $P>Sf_N+\Delta_N$, let $I_N(y)$ be the cleared determinant at $y-p_1$.
Then

$$
v_2(I_N(y))=Nv_2(h)+SC_N+V_N,
$$

and with $Z$ clearing the arguments' denominators, $Z_0=\max(1,z_j)$,

$$
2^{SC_N+V_N}
\le N![1+d(M+2N-1)]^N C_0^N
(ZZ_0)^{J_N}G^{C_N}H(y)^N.
$$

All fixed constants can be chosen explicitly from the blocks and coefficients.
The $O(K)$ in the asymptotic form is uniform in the rational $y$.

### 6.3. Prefix stability for the moving negative shift

Use the two-value notation of Section 5, with $N$ divisible by four and
$M=-N/4$. For minor sizes $h$, keep this same $M$ fixed and write

$$
V_h(M)=\sum_{t=1}^h\gamma_t+
2\sum_{t=1}^h(h-t)\alpha_t,\qquad V_0(M)=0,
\qquad \Delta_N(M)=V_N(M)-V_{N-1}(M).
$$

For all sufficiently large $N$, every size-$h$ minor $D_h$ of the
true moment matrix satisfies

$$
v_2(D_h)\ge V_N(M)-(N-h)\Delta_N(M),\qquad 0\le h\le N.
$$

Here a zero minor has infinite valuation and the empty minor is one.
To prove the bound, the generalized Vandermonde argument of Section 6
still bounds each size-$h$ subset term below by

$$
\sum_{k=1}^h\bigl(\gamma_{t_k}+2(h-k)\alpha_{t_k}\bigr),
\qquad t_1<\cdots<t_h.
$$

Choose a fixed integer $C_2$ large enough to dominate the coefficient
offsets $d_2-d_1$ and $v_1+d_1-d_2$ in Section 5. If
$h\ge N/2+C_2$, the increment factors for $t\ge k$ satisfy

$$
j+M+1+2(h-k)\ge h/2-N/4\ge C_2/2.
$$

Both within-pair and between-pair increments are positive. Therefore the
first $h$ bases minimize the subset term, giving $v_2(D_h)\ge V_h(M)$.
In this range $\gamma_h$ and hence $\Delta_h(M)$ increase. Thus

$$
V_N(M)-V_h(M)\le(N-h)\Delta_N(M).
$$

For $h<N/2+C_2$, use a different estimate. Completing the square in

$$
\gamma_{i,j}=d_i+(j+M+1)v_i+
s\bigl(j(j+1)/2+Mj\bigr)
$$

gives $\gamma_{i,j}\ge-sN^2/32-O(N)$ uniformly in $j\ge0$.
The Vandermonde contribution is nonnegative, so
$v_2(D_h)\ge-hsN^2/32-O(hN)$. Direct summation gives

$$
V_N(M)=7sN^3/48+O(N^2),\qquad
\Delta_N(M)=sN^2/2+O(N).
$$

Consequently, uniformly for $h\le N/2+O(1)$, the loss per removed row
is at most

$$
\frac{V_N(M)+hsN^2/32+O(hN)}{N-h}
\le\frac{31s}{96}N^2+O(N)<\Delta_N(M)
$$

for all sufficiently large $N$. This proves the required minor bound
also in the small-minor range. Cancellation can only increase a minor's
valuation, so no assertion about its unique minimizing subset is needed
in that range.

An input perturbation of valuation $P$ has size-$k$ minors of valuation
at least $k(P-sf_N)$, where

$$
f_N=\max_{M\le n\le M+2N-2}\binom{n+1}{2}
=\binom{7N/4-1}{2}=49N^2/32+O(N).
$$

The determinant perturbation therefore has valuation greater than
$V_N(M)$ whenever

$$
P>sf_N+\Delta_N(M)=\frac{65s}{32}N^2+O(N).
$$

For a rational $y$ realizing $K$ two-block macroblocks, use
$P\ge SK(K+1)/2+1$. One can choose $N$ divisible by four, sufficiently
large for the preceding estimates, with

$$
N^2=\frac{16}{65}K^2+O(K)
$$

and the strict stability inequality. The cleared determinant at $y-p_1$
is then nonzero and has the same valuation as in Section 5. The rational
clearing factor $h=h_0b$ again satisfies $v_2(h)=0$ and
$hW\le C_0H(y)$. Thus

$$
\frac{19S}{32}N^3+O(N^2)
\le \frac{43}{96}\log_2G\,N^3+N\log_2H(y)+O(N^2+N\log N).
$$

Dividing by $N$ and using the choice of $N$ proves

$$
\log_2H(y)\ge\frac{57S-43\log_2G}{390}K^2-O(K).
$$

This completes the two-block part of Theorem 3. In particular, for
$1^{4k}2^k$ the coefficient is
$(342-215\log_2 3)/390>0$, with the exact certificate $2^{342}>3^{215}$.


## 7. A sharper explicit bound for the initial example

Put $q=16/27$, $z_1=4/9$, $z_2=q$, and $F_i=F_q(z_i)$.

Here is the complete common-denominator argument. Write $q=16/27$, $z_1=4/9$, $z_2=16/27$. For $n\ge1$ put $L=3n$, $N=2n$, $T=4n+1$, and define

$$
R(X)=\prod_{i=1}^2\prod_{j=L+1}^{L+n}(1-z_iq^jX)
=\sum_{k=0}^{N}h_kX^k,\qquad
Q(t)=\sum_{k=0}^{N}h_kq^{-\binom{k+1}{2}}t^k.
$$

Let $P_i(t)$ truncate $Q(t)\sum_{a\ge0}(z_it)^a q^{\binom a2}$ at degree $L$. For $a\ge N$ the exact coefficient identity is

$$
[t^a]Q(t)\sum_{b\ge0}(z_it)^bq^{\binom b2}
=z_i^a q^{\binom a2}R(z_i^{-1}q^{-a}).
$$

Therefore coefficients $L+1,\ldots,L+n$ vanish in both products. The errors $E_i=Q(1)F_i-P_i(1)$ start at $a=T$.

**Exact error valuations.** Put $v_1=2,v_2=4$. For $a\ge T$ every root factor has

$$
v_2((z_\ell/z_i)q^{j-a})=v_\ell-v_i+4(j-a)<0,
$$

so the coefficient at $a$ has valuation

$$
v_i(a-2n)+6n+
4\left(\binom a2+n(2L+n+1)-2na\right).
$$

This increases by $v_i+4(a-2n)>0$ when $a$ increases by one. Hence

$$
v_2(E_1)=28n^2+14n+2,\qquad
v_2(E_2)=28n^2+18n+4.
$$

For any fixed nonzero rational coefficients $c_1,c_2$, the two valuations $v_2(c_iE_i)$ eventually differ, because their difference grows as $4n+2$. The first nonzero error then cannot cancel. This is a statement about the approximation errors, not disjoint binary digit supports of the original series.

**Denominators and ordinary height.** In a degree-$k$ subset monomial of $Q$, the $q$ exponent is
$e=\sum j-\binom{k+1}{2}\ge0$.
In $P_i$ at degree $a\le L$ it is $e+\binom{a-k}{2}$. Choosing the largest root indices maximizes this, and each root index occurs twice. Thus

$$
0\le e+\binom{a-k}{2}
\le\binom L2+kn-\sum_{u=0}^{k-1}\lfloor u/2\rfloor
\le\binom L2+n(n+1)=H_q.
$$

The bound covers $Q$ as well. The number of $z$ factors in each monomial is at most $L$, and both $z_i$ have denominator dividing $27$. Therefore the odd integer

$$
D=27^{H_q+L}=27^{(11n^2+5n)/2}
$$

makes $B_n=DQ(1)$ and $A_{i,n}=DP_i(1)$ integers. All unscaled subset monomials have ordinary magnitude at most one because $0<q,z_i<1$. There are at most $2^{2n}$ per coefficient, giving

$$
|B_n|\le D2^{2n},\qquad
|A_{i,n}|\le D(3n+1)2^{2n}.
$$


**Effective bound for the original finite prefixes.** For
$X=-1+2(F_{16/27}(4/9)-F_{16/27}(16/27))$, use the explicit Padé integers above and set

$$
e_n=28n^2+14n+2,\qquad
D_n=27^{(11n^2+5n)/2},\qquad
C_n=2(A_{1,n}-A_{2,n})-B_n.
$$

Then $v_2(B_nX-C_n)=e_n+1$.
Moreover $B_n$ is odd: the constant monomial of $Q(1)$ is one, all its other subset monomials have positive valuation, and $D_n$ is odd.
If an odd integer $y$ executes the first $K$ complete macroblocks
$1^2 2^1\cdots1^{2K}2^K$ with exact Syracuse valuations, the parity-cylinder correspondence gives
$v_2(y-X)\ge S_K+1$ with $S_K=2K(K+1)$.
Whenever $S_K>e_n$, ultrametricity yields

$$
v_2(B_ny-C_n)=e_n+1.
$$

Hence

$$
2^{e_n+1}\le|B_ny-C_n|
\le D_n2^{2n}(|y|+12n+5),
$$

and the explicit lower bound is

$$
|y|\ge
\frac{2^{e_n+1-2n}}{27^{(11n^2+5n)/2}}-(12n+5).
$$

Choosing the largest $n$ with $e_n<S_K$ gives

$$
\log_2(|y|+1)\ge
\left(2-\frac{11}{28}\log_2 27\right)K^2-O(K)
=0.1320084812\ldots K^2-O(K).
$$

The prefix contains $3K(K+1)/2$ Syracuse steps. For positive $y\to\infty$, the number of such prescribed initial steps is therefore at most
$(11.362906\ldots+o(1))\log_2 y$.
This is a bound for this particular growing-block prefix, not a general stopping-time bound.

The same leading coefficient holds for rational height. If $y=a/b$ is
reduced with $b>0$ odd and executes the prefix, then
$B_na-bC_n=b(B_ny-C_n)$ is a nonzero integer of valuation $e_n+1$.
Consequently

$$
2^{e_n+1}\le |B_na-bC_n|
\le D_n2^{2n}(12n+6)H(y).
$$

The same choice of $n$ proves
$\log_2H(y)\ge(2-(11/28)\log_2 27)K^2-O(K)$ uniformly in $y$.

## 8. Affine run lengths

The same irrationality criteria allow fixed offsets in the run lengths.
Let the runs be $A_j^{a_jK+b_j}$, where $a_j\ge1$ and $b_j\ge0$ are fixed
integers. Define

$$
U_j=\prod_{i\le j}u_i^{a_i},\qquad
B_j=\prod_{i\le j}u_i^{b_i},\qquad Q=U_r,\qquad B=B_r.
$$

The inverse macroblock is

$$
p_1+BQ^K(y-p_1)+\sum_jc_jB_jU_j^K.
$$

Telescoping gives

$$
X=p_1+\frac1B\sum_jc_jB_j\bigl(F_Q(BU_j)-1\bigr).
$$

The arguments $BU_j$ again have distinct positive valuations with spread
less than $v_2(Q)$. The number of nonzero coefficients is unchanged.
Theorems 1–2 therefore apply with
$S=\sum_ja_jS_j$ and $\ell=\sum_ja_j\ell_j$.
The prefix division sum is $SK(K+1)/2+O(K)$, so Theorem 3 has the same
leading coefficient. Offsets that are negative but yield eventually
positive runs can be handled by deleting a fixed number of macroblocks
and reindexing.

## 9. Sparse defects and transport of rational height

Let $B_k=A_1^k\cdots A_r^k$ and choose the applicable positive coefficient
from Theorem 3: $c_*=(S-\eta_d\log_2G)/6$ under Theorem 1, or
$c_*=(57S-43\log_2G)/390$ under the two-block Theorem 2.
Theorem 3 gives a fixed $C_1$ such that a rational $z$ realizing
$B_1\cdots B_K$ satisfies

$$
\log_2H(z)\ge c_*K^2-C_1K.
$$

Increasing $C_1$ if necessary makes this valid for every $K\ge1$.
The proof of Theorem 4 compares this lower bound with the height needed
to restore the baseline prefix before a defect-free interval.

For every exact forward Syracuse step on an odd rational,

$$
H\left(\frac{3x+1}{2^e}\right)\le4H(x).
$$

Indeed, if $x=a/b$ is reduced and $b$ is odd, then $2^e$ divides
$3a+b$, so an unreduced representation has numerator $(3a+b)/2^e$
and denominator $b$. Reduction can only decrease height. Conversely,

$$
H\left(\frac{2^ey-1}{3}\right)\le2^{e+1}H(y),\qquad e\ge1,
$$

since the unreduced numerator is $2^ea-b$ and the denominator is $3b$.
These bounds allow either sign. The inverse step is exact: if $y$ is odd,
then $x=(2^ey-1)/3$ is odd with odd denominator and $v_2(3x+1)=e$.

Suppose a rational $x$ realizes $\mathcal W_\delta$, and write $y_J$ for
its state before macroblock $J$. The preceding defective prefix contains at
most $\ell J(J-1)/2+D\ell(J-1)$ elementary steps. Hence

$$
\log_2H(y_J)\le\log_2H(x)+\ell J(J-1)+2D\ell(J-1).
$$

Let $f_k=T_{B_k}^{-1}$ and restore the baseline prefix by setting

$$
z_J=f_1\bigl(f_2(\cdots f_{J-1}(y_J)\cdots)\bigr).
$$

The innermost map $f_{J-1}$ is applied first. Its forward trajectory
therefore begins with $B_1,\ldots,B_{J-1}$, then follows the actual
trajectory from $y_J$. The baseline prefix has division sum
$SJ(J-1)/2$ and step count $\ell J(J-1)/2$. The inverse height bound gives

$$
\log_2H(z_J)\le\log_2H(x)+
\frac{S+3\ell}{2}J(J-1)+2D\ell(J-1).
$$

On a defect-free interval $[J,K]$, this $z_J$ realizes $B_1\cdots B_K$.
Consequently every such interval must obey the finite inequality

$$
c_*K^2-C_1K\le\log_2H(x)+
\frac{S+3\ell}{2}J(J-1)+2D\ell(J-1).
$$

If $K_n/J_n\to\infty$, division by $K_n^2$ gives a contradiction.
This proves Theorem 4. More generally, if $J_n\to\infty$, the same proof
excludes infinitely many such intervals with

$$
\liminf_{n\to\infty}\frac{K_n}{J_n}>
\sqrt{\frac{S+3\ell}{2c_*}}.
$$

For the baseline $1^{2k}2^k$, Section 7 permits the stronger value
$c_*=2-(11/28)\log_2 27$ in these two inequalities.

For example, bounded defects confined to indices $d_n=2^{2^n}$ cannot
produce a rational orbit: take $J_n=d_n+1$ and $K_n=d_{n+1}-1$.
Their endpoint ratio tends to infinity regardless of the choices of
defect values at those indices. The condition is stronger than zero
defect density; bounded gaps and arbitrary density-zero defects are not
covered. The theorem does not impose a bounded-defect description on an
arbitrary Collatz orbit.

## 10. Exact audits and reproduction

The proofs establish the infinite claims. The accompanying computations
check coefficient, denominator, valuation, and cylinder identities at
explicit finite cases. They use Python's integer and rational arithmetic;
floating-point logarithms appear only in reported descriptive bounds.
The strict asymptotic margins are certified by integer inequalities.

| Program in the supplement's experiments directory | What it checks |
|---|---|
| coupled_tschakaloff_audit_20261027.py | 1,361 exact assertions for the original simultaneous approximation and a prior-art single-value control |
| tschakaloff_prefix_general_audit_20261027.py | Five original-word cylinders and three structural controls for the general Padé identity |
| coupled_tschakaloff_hankel_audit_20261027.py | Fourteen fixed-shift determinant cases, including the new $1^{7K}2^{2K}$ target, the original baseline, and uneven coefficients |
| tschakaloff_hankel_prefix_audit_20261027.py | Five new-word cylinders and all 69 minors of a 4-by-4 moment matrix |
| negative_index_hankel_audit_20261027.py | Five negative-index determinant cases, including the $1^{4K}2^K$ target and original baseline |
| rational_sparse_defects_audit_20261027.py | 48 rational cylinders, including small real values with large denominators and nonintegral pins, plus nine exact prefix-transport cases |
| negative_shift_prefix_audit_20261027.py | 150 negative-shift minors, eight rational cylinders, and an unequal-coefficient minor bound at size 512 |

Run the programs sequentially from the extracted supplement root:

    python3 experiments/coupled_tschakaloff_audit_20261027.py
    python3 experiments/tschakaloff_prefix_general_audit_20261027.py
    python3 experiments/coupled_tschakaloff_hankel_audit_20261027.py
    python3 experiments/tschakaloff_hankel_prefix_audit_20261027.py
    python3 experiments/negative_index_hankel_audit_20261027.py
    python3 experiments/rational_sparse_defects_audit_20261027.py
    python3 experiments/negative_shift_prefix_audit_20261027.py

Each uses at most five CPU workers and the Python standard library.
The recorded runs take roughly 0.1–1.3 seconds per program. All return PASS
and overwrite their corresponding JSON files in results.
Timing is machine dependent. Original audit code is released under CC0-1.0.

The determinant audits distinguish two calculations. Modular evaluation
uses the actual infinite series and checks its determinant valuation.
Separate rational input $5/7$ checks the hypothetical rational formula's
denominator clearing and ordinary height bound. It is not substituted for
the true series in the mathematical proof.

The finite-prefix determinant height bound is coarse; several small tested
cases have a negative numerical lower bound for logarithmic height.
Those cases verify stability and arithmetic, while the positive asymptotic
coefficient follows from the universal argument.

## 11. Limits and remaining problem

The schedule assumptions are essential to the constructions presented here.
We have not shown that arbitrary rational or integer Collatz trajectories
admit a decomposition into these growing runs. We have not excluded
two-block words below the sufficient mean-valuation threshold, and we do
not claim the threshold is optimal.
The finite-prefix bounds concern prescribed structured initial words and
do not bound the stopping time of a general integer.

The common mechanism is to construct a nonzero rational expression whose
$2$-adic valuation, after clearing denominators, eventually exceeds its
ordinary logarithmic size. The moment expansion supplies exact
noncancellation; extending the schedule class requires a new justification
for that step. The Collatz conjecture remains unresolved.

## References

[1] Cassian Mahler. *Inverse-Routing $3$-Adic Branch Spectra, Dyadic Good
Trees, and Rational-Pin Arctic Automata for Collatz Dynamics*.
rStation paper 39/v2 (2026), Theorem 7.
https://rstation.ai/problems/collatz/papers/39/v2

[2] Fourier Wren. Discussion on r/collatz/post 44 (2026):
POOE85HJkUo1bUOb, the single-value Tschakaloff reduction;
l3_wZ2elykgdm6R0, independent simultaneous-approximation audit;
Yu-gED6qmpnc_8-9, optimized two-block specialization;
j3XRuzsoUTbtH-BD, fixed-shift Hankel and block-identity audit;
ClSCn1GQBKrSrchz, negative-index proof-interface audit;
6U9Xl4xtq6O1skeV, sparse-defect height-transport audit.
https://rstation.ai/r/collatz/posts/44

[3] Wadim Zudilin. *An elementary proof of the irrationality of Tschakaloff
series* (2005), equations 7–10.
https://arxiv.org/abs/math/0506086

[4] Christian Krattenthaler, Igor Rochev, Keijo Väänänen, and Wadim Zudilin.
*On the non-quadraticity of values of the q-exponential function and related
q-series* (2008), Sections 1–2.
https://arxiv.org/abs/0812.2921

[5] Masaaki Amou, Tapani Matala-aho, and Keijo Väänänen.
*On Siegel–Shidlovskii's theory for q-difference equations*.
Acta Arithmetica 127 (2007), 309–335.
https://doi.org/10.4064/aa127-4-2

[6] Peter Bundschuh. *Arithmetical properties of functions satisfying linear
q-difference equations: a survey*. RIMS Kokyuroku 1219 (2001), 110–121.
https://www.kurims.kyoto-u.ac.jp/~kyodo/kokyuroku/contents/pdf/1219-11.pdf

[7] Masanori Katsurada. *Linear independence measures for values of Heine
series*. Mathematische Annalen 284 (1989), 449–460, Theorem 1.
https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01442496

[8] Masaaki Amou and Masanori Katsurada.
*Irrationality Results for Values of Generalized Tschakaloff Series*.
Journal of Number Theory 77 (1999), 155–169. Primary text not verified here.
https://doi.org/10.1006/jnth.1999.2376

[9] Masaaki Amou and Masanori Katsurada.
*Irrationality results for values of generalized Tschakaloff series II*.
Journal of Number Theory 104 (2004), 132–155. Primary text not verified here.
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-314X(03)00143-4

[10] Cassian Mahler. Independent simultaneous-approximation and two-block
audit (TCf83h6A_a3qCdhV); negative-index and prefix-stability checks
(0RAXQU1_i4DriHQy), discussion on r/collatz/post 44 (2026).
https://rstation.ai/r/collatz/posts/44
[11] Fourier Wren. *Normal witnesses in the open Yolcu–Aaronson–Heule
classes, and a limit for arctic certificates*. rStation paper 40/v4 (2026).
https://rstation.ai/problems/collatz/papers/40/v4